24-25

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Fri Feb 21, 2025

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>Persistent Slab avalanches </span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>are the primary concern. These slides will break 1-3 ft deep on weak layers that formed at the snow surface in late January. They can be triggered from a distance or the bottom of a slope, as demonstrated by slides triggered on Wednesday near Lionhead (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34264"><span><span><span><span><span><…;) and in the </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34264"><span><span><span><span><span><… Canyon area</span></span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span> (east of Island Park, outside our advisory area). These weak layers don’t exist on all slopes, but they are widespread enough that all slopes should all be presumed guilty, until proven innocent (by digging multiple snowpits without finding the weak layer). Triggering large avalanches is LIKELY if you get on or near slopes steeper than 30 degrees.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>Wind Slab avalanches</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> are a more isolated concern, but there are probably still some places where drifts have formed and aren’t well bonded so you could trigger one. Temperatures won’t be too warm in these areas, so I don’t expect widespread wet loose activity, but it’s worth being on alert for if the sun pops out.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Conditions remain dangerous. The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>With winds picking up overnight, </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>Wind Slab avalanches </span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>are the primary concern. There is lots of soft snow available for transport so expect deep drifts that will be easily triggered today. Keep watch for visual clues of drifted snow and steer clear of bulbous pillows that will generally have formed below ridgelines and cornices. Avoiding windloaded slopes will dramatically decrease your chance of triggering a large avalanche today.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Strong winds may limit melting at upper elevations, but on slopes that aren’t cooled by the winds, expect Loose wet avalanches as the day heats up and direct sunshine melts surface snow.&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE on windloaded slopes and MODERATE on all other slopes.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>The concerns in these areas are the same as in the Bridger Range, but winds are lighter this morning. This means that fresh wind slabs will be more isolated and </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>Wind Slab avalanches</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> not as easily triggered. Be on the lookout for those fresh wind slabs or older wind drifts that haven’t yet bonded to the snow beneath them.&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Be on alert for</span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span> Wet Loose avalanches </span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>as the day heats up. Cold powder from the last week will be seeing direct sunshine and warm temperatures for the first time today on many slopes. With lots of fresh snow, these slides may gain enough volume to really push you around or bury you in a gully.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>The avalanche danger is MODERATE today.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

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Wet Loose Avalanche near Mt Zimmer

Mt. Zimmer
Cooke City
Code
WL-N-R1-D1
Aspect
S
Latitude
45.11700
Longitude
-109.89300
Notes

A wet loose avalanche occurred sometime today between 11-2 pm on S facing terrain nearby 

 

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Wet loose-snow avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
1
D size
1
Problem Type
Wet Snow
Snow Observation Source
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

Wind Slab Avalanches near Mt Zimmer

Mt. Zimmer
Cooke City
Code
SS-N-R1-D1
Aspect
SW
Latitude
45.11700
Longitude
-109.89300
Notes

Today we observed a couple day old wind slabs in steep SW facing terrain on Mt Zimmer. Also, a wet loose occurred sometime today between 11-2 pm on S facing terrain nearby 

 

Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
1
D size
1
Problem Type
Wind-Drifted Snow
Vertical Fall
75ft
Slab Width
25.00ft
Snow Observation Source
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Multiple Avalanches
Advisory Year

Wind Slabs near Mt Zimmer

Date
Activity
Skiing

Today we observed a couple day old wind slabs in steep SW facing terrain on Mt Zimmer. Also, a wet loose occurred sometime today between 11-2 pm on S facing terrain nearby 

 

Region
Cooke City
Location (from list)
Mt. Zimmer
Observer Name
J Mundt

Wind Slab avalanche at Taylor Fork

Taylor Fork
Southern Madison
Code
HS-N-R1-D1-S
Elevation
8130
Aspect
E
Latitude
45.06070
Longitude
-111.27200
Notes

We rode into the Taylor Fork, down into the bottom of Sunlight Basin, across Carrot Basin and to the Wilderness Boundary.... Additionally, we saw one wind slab avalanche (R1, D1) in Sunlight Basin. This slide was fresh from this morning or yesterday. 

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Hard slab avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
1
D size
1
Bed Surface
S - Avalanche released within new snow
Problem Type
Wind Slab
Slab Thickness
6.0 inches
Vertical Fall
40ft
Slab Width
40.00ft
Slab Thickness units
inches
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year