GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Mar 24, 2025
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Near Cooke City strong winds have drifted 5” of new snow and snow from last week into stiff slabs that can avalanche under the weight of a person. These </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>wind slab avalanches </span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>are the primary concern, and today the wind will continue to build slabs and create dangerous conditions on wind-loaded slopes. Additionally, a weak layer buried 2 feet deep below last week’s snow can produce larger </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>persistent slab</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>avalanches</span></span></strong><span><span><span>, even on non-wind-loaded slopes. A natural avalanche appeared to break on this layer a couple days ago in Sheep Creek (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/25/natural-avalanche-north-cooke-cit…;), and yesterday Dave and Haylee found it in snowpits with unstable test results (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/25/ectp18-absarokas"><span><span><sp…;, </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t7oJF2TPrXI&list=PLXu5151nmAvToI_ir…;, </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34732"><span><span><span><strong><span…;). Avoid big, wind-loaded slopes and dig down 2-3 feet to assess the snowpack for recently buried weak layers. Be cautious crossing below steep slopes because the recently buried weak layer creates potential to trigger a slide from flatter terrain. </span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE on wind-loaded slopes and MODERATE on all other slopes around Cooke City.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Near Bozeman, Big Sky, West Yellowstone and Island Park, </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>wind slab avalanches</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> are the primary concern where strong winds have drifted last week’s snow into slabs up to a couple feet thick. Be cautious of recently wind-loaded slopes, often identifiable by a textured or rounded snow surface, and typically found near ridgelines below cornices.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Above freezing temperatures, and any rain, will melt the snow surface and make </span></span></span><strong><span><span>wet loose avalanches</span></span></strong><span><span><span> possible. These slides will probably be small today, and most hazardous if they knock you over in terrain above cliffs or rocks. Feel for a moist snow surface as a sign wet snow danger is rising, and find lower angle or colder slopes. </span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Near West Yellowstone, including the southern Madison and southern Gallatin ranges, a person can trigger </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>persistent slab avalanches </span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>2-4 feet deep on a weak layer that was buried in January. Avalanches were triggered on this layer in the Taylor Fork on Saturday (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34722"><span><span><span><strong><span…;) and Wednesday (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34697"><span><span><span><strong><span…;). These slides have not been huge, but large enough to be deadly, especially in terrain similar to where they have occurred. They broke on slopes with thick trees that could cause trauma, or depressions at the bottom where snow can pile up deep. Select terrain with minimal terrain traps like trees, cliffs or gullies.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>There is also a chance for slides to break a couple feet deep below last weekend’s snow. Last weekend we saw layers break in stability tests below the new snow near West Yellowstone (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34670"><span><span><span><strong><span…;) and Island Park (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34631"><span><span><span><strong><span…;). Dig down a couple feet to check for potential weak layers.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Human-triggered avalanches are possible and the avalanche danger is MODERATE near Bozeman, Big Sky, West Yellowstone and Island Park.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
Natural avalanche north of Cooke City
Photo of a recent natural avalanche north of Cooke City, observed today. A S, SE aspect in Sheep Creek at about 9000'. Seems like it likely occurred yesterday.
Estimated to be about 2' deep at 250' wide.
Photo of a recent natural avalanche north of Cooke City, observed today (3/23/25). A S, SE aspect in Sheep Creek at about 9000'. Photo: B Fredlund
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Mar 24, 2025GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Tue Mar 25, 2025
Recent natural avalanche near Cooke City
Photo of a recent natural avalanche north of Cooke City, observed today. A S, SE aspect in Sheep Creek at about 9000'. Seems like it likely occurred yesterday.
Estimated to be about 2' deep at 250' wide.
We got an ECTP18 result on a north aspect at 8600’ in the absarokas. It propagated on a small layer of facets 30cm down. Photo: C von Avis
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Mar 24, 2025
Wind on Bridger Ridge
Winds were ripping on the hike to Saddle Peak - almost knocking us over. If they had been just a few mph stronger, we would have been crawling. They were still finding snow to transport, and there were obvious plumes at discrete points along the ridge. Much of the snow was being blown to North Dakota while loading only in isolated places.
As soon as you got off the ridge, winds dropped to almost nothing, and we didn't find any wind slabs as we descended off the nose of Saddle into the North Central Gully. The skiing was excellent.
Further south, the bare rock area north of Bridger Peak had grown significantly as winds scoured a much larger area down to rock.